Bill Whalen: Politi-Cal

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Buying the Generic GOP Brand

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Another sign of trouble ahead for Democrats: Republican candidates now have a 10-point lead in Rasmussen Reports’ Generic Congressional Ballot, the GOP’s biggest edge in three years of weekly tracking.

That’s the good news, for Republicans: a 45%-35% advantage in a hypothetical two-party match-up.

The bad news: toss in a Tea Party candidate and it’s a whole different ballgame — Democrats 34%, Republicans 27%, Tea Party 21%.

But even that can be spun in a positive way by the GOP.

Back in December, Rasmussen’s numbers read Democrats 36%, Tea Party 23%, Republicans 18%. By February, “generic GOP” moved into second place with 25% of the vote, with the Tea Party dropping to 17%.

More results to crunch:

When President Obama took office, Democrats enjoyed a seven-point advantage on the Generic Ballot. That gap narrowed throughout the spring of last year, with the GOP pulling ahead in late June — perhaps not coincidentally, roughly the same time the President’s party began its health care push.

One group definitely not in love with the status quo: independents. According to Rasmussen, unaffiliated voters favor the GOP, 41%-22% — a margin that’s changed little this year.

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Written by Bill Whalen

March 17, 2010 at 2:54 am

Posted in Uncategorized

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